tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5063585505117878771.post697937277528813237..comments2024-02-18T02:28:39.730-06:00Comments on Nick's Energy FAQ: Is aviation sustainable?Nick Ghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12721405349726668110noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5063585505117878771.post-87848707870664326962012-07-17T19:23:14.079-05:002012-07-17T19:23:14.079-05:00Half empty,
You're raising a wide range of is...Half empty,<br /><br />You're raising a wide range of issues. I suggest you read more of my FAQ before jumping in.<br /><br />That said, here are some thoughts:<br /><br />I suspect you're underestimating the income of the <br />average driver. <br /><br />Yes, most people drive older cars. That means they'll have to wait several years for the current crop of hybrids, phevs and EVs. They can upgrade to a more efficient used vehicle, or they can carpool. Just one passenger cuts fuel by 50%.Nick Ghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12721405349726668110noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5063585505117878771.post-8866902853802678592012-07-11T14:59:19.070-05:002012-07-11T14:59:19.070-05:00There are some severe boundary issues with this po...There are some severe boundary issues with this post: mainly the idea that high oil prices lead to substitution regardless of the state of the economy as a whole. <br /><br />For instance, the average car-owner in the UK drives a seven-year-old car worth about £4,000, bought with a loan. That is the most they can afford. If sky-high fuel prices force them to curtail their driving, they certainly won't buy a £30,000 EV. In fact, with the economy at a standstill, they are more likely to see their job disappear, leaving them with the loan payments on the car and no income.<br /><br />As for them flying anywhere - forget about it. <br /><br />Aviation will hold up longer in the developing world, whose underlying economies run on less oil per capita and therefore won't be so badly hit by high prices.Half Emptyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04589816424420932962noreply@blogger.com